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#ncsen: Fox News says Hagan 43, Tillis 42

Posted on November 1, 2014 by Brant Clifton

In this survey, Hagan has 86 percent of Democrats, while Tillis has 84 percent of Republicans.  Hagan leads 55-31 among voters who said they have already voted. Here is a

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Congress, Media
2 comments

#ncsen: CNN says Hagan 48, Tillis 46, Haugh 4

Posted on October 31, 2014 by Brant Clifton

This survey was conducted Oct. 27-30 among 559 likely voters.  It has a +-4 percent margin of error.  Here’s some analysis: […] Hampering Tillis is an underwater favorability rating. Just

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Congress, Media
3 comments

The latest odds on GOP Senate takeover, Hagan re-elect

Posted on October 31, 2014 by Brant Clifton

The Washington Post is giving the GOP a 95 percent chance of controlling the US Senate and a 99 percent chance of holding the House after this Tuesday’s vote.  The

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Congress, Media
9 comments

That Ebola Nurse

Posted on October 31, 2014 by Brant Clifton

Here at Haymaker HQ, we are still scratching our heads over this one.  A nurse named Kaci Hickox went to west Africa to help ebola victims.  She comes home —

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Media
2 comments

NC-02: A social worker?

Posted on October 31, 2014 by Brant Clifton

I came across this re-tweet from Democrat nominee Clay Aiken:   I agree with Clay on #1 and #3, but am stopping WAY short of endorsing #2.  Congressman as social

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Congress, Media
One comment

ONCE AGAIN: “Expanding Medicaid” = ObamaCare

Posted on October 31, 2014 by Brant Clifton

I seriously can’t understand the logic behind having TWO prominent Republican leaders go public — right in front of a HUGE election — with their desire to expand Medicaid. Gov.

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campaign 2014, Congress, Media, Politics
3 comments

#ncsen: Sean Haugh, “principled conservative” ???

Posted on October 31, 2014October 31, 2014 by Brant Clifton

Yep.  That’s what THIS MAILER that showed up in a lot of North Carolina snail-mail boxes on Thursday says.  It tells you that Thom Tillis “has been very busy …

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campaign 2014, Congress, Media, Politics
9 comments

#ncsen: Rasmussen says Hagan 47, Tillis 46

Posted on October 30, 2014 by Brant Clifton

This whole polling exercise just proves you can make numbers say anything you want them to say.  Today, we’ve been told Tillis is down by 1, down by 3, up

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Congress, Media
6 comments

#ncsen: Vox Populi (???) says Tillis 48, Hagan 43, Undecided 9

Posted on October 30, 2014 by Brant Clifton

Why poll a two-person race when there are more than two choices in the race?   (The totals in my headline include “leaners” toward each candidate, FWIW.)  But that is what

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Congress, Media

#ncsen: PPP says Hagan 47, Tillis 46, Haugh 4

Posted on October 30, 2014 by Brant Clifton

This poll of 657 likely voters was done October 28-29.  Hagan’s favorable-unfavorable rating is 46-49.  Tillis’s favorable-unfavorable is at 42-50. (Obama is at 47-50.)  Hagan is getting 90 percent of

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Congress, Media

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