Posted in campaign 2014 Media NCGOP Pat McCrory Politics

Does even being SEEN with Pat McCrory hurt you with voters?

The folks over at The Elon Poll seem to think so:  […] When North Carolina House Speaker Thom Tillis was shown in a picture with Governor Pat McCrory his favorability rating also declined, but this negative effect was much smaller than Obama’s negative effect on…

Posted in Congress Media

#NCSEN: Trailer Parks AND Tholl Roads? Wow.

Well, the Dems TOLD us it was coming.  And here it is.: As he crisscrosses North Carolina campaigning for U.S. Senate, Thom Tillis likes to remind voters of his modest upbringing. The Republican candidate and former business executive describes a childhood with parents who struggled…

Posted in campaign 2014 Congress Media Politics

#ncsen: (Ruh-Roh.) Questions about Tillis real estate holdings?

The lefties are giggling themselves silly on Politico’s front page today over Kay Hagan’s good fortune.  In the story, Democrat sources appear to be tipping their hand on what they hope will be a knockout punch against the Tillis campaign in the final weeks: […]…

Posted in campaign 2014 Congress Media NCGOP Politics Thom Tillis

Analyst: Tillis doing worse with white voters than Dole in 2008, Romney in 2012

Over at the conservative web site Ace of Spades HQ, we’ve got some more eye-opening analysis on the Senate race:  […] Senator Hagan’s thin lead suggests a close race, much like what we saw in Alaska, Colorado, and Iowa, but unlike her collegues there, she…

Posted in campaign 2014 Congress Media NCGOP Politics

RedState: Tillis needs about 62% of undecideds in order to squeak past Hagan

That’s the take from analyst Dan McLaughlin– who finds Tillis sitting with 47% of the two-party vote, and needing 61.9% of the total 15.2% undecided vote in the race to earn 50.01% of the vote in November.  From June to October, McLaughlin found Hagan losing 1.1%…

Posted in campaign 2014 Congress Media NCGOP Politics

#ncsen: STILL waiting for some substance

Okay.  It’s become pretty clear that Kay Hagan’s upper middle-class family has benefited greatly from our bloated state and federal governments.  See brother in law David’s  real estate commissions from the city of Greensboro, hubby Chip’s stimulus money, and son Tilden’s business getting cash from…

Posted in campaign 2014 Congress Media NCGOP Politics Thom Tillis

#ncsen: 80% chance of Hagan victory, Tillis “uninspiring”

And the beat goes on.  The Five Thirty-Eight blog, maintained by election projection whiz Nate Silver, is seeing things coming up roses for ol’ Kay:  When FiveThirtyEight launched its Senate forecast almost a month ago, Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan had just a 46 percent chance…

Posted in campaign 2014 Congress Media NCGOP Politics

#ncsen: More on Civitas poll

Here are the cross-tabs.     The data does show a 41-40 Hagan lead.  But if you factor in those leaning Tillis (1%) and those leaning Hagan (5%), you actually have a 46-41 race. (If leaners keep leaning in their respective directions.)  When asked about a…

Posted in Congress Media

#ncsen: ISIS, Khorosan? But what about OUR southern border?

DC had Republican Senate candidates talking about making birth control pills available over-the-counter.  Now, DC has got candidates talking about ISIS.  George Holding is running ads about ISIS.  Thom Tillis is running ads about ISIS.  But we’re not hearing much about what is arguably our…

Posted in Congress Media

#ncsen: CNN poll says Hagan 46, Tillis 43, Haugh 7

THAT is among Likely Voters. If you consider registered voters, the split is Hagan 46, Tillis, 39, Haugh 9.   The poll was conducted Sept. 22 through 25.   A total of 1010 voters were surveyed.  The margin of error for registered voters was +-3.5…