Posted in campaign 2014 Congress Media NCGOP Politics Thom Tillis

#ncsen: Tillis campaign internal poll says Hagan 44, Tillis 42, Haugh 6

A month ago, the SAME pollster had the race at 44-44-8. How can this be viewed as good news for Tillis, you ask?  National Journal has the 4-1-1 on this latest leak:  Thom Tillis narrowly trails Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan in the North Carolina Senate…

Posted in campaign 2014 Congress Media NCGOP Politics

#ncsen: Rasmussen says Hagan 48, Tillis 46

The survey was conducted October 6-7 and involved 970 likely voters. Here’s what they found:  This is the first survey of the race to include “leaners,” those who initially are undecided or prefer a third-party candidate and are asked again to pick between the Republican…

Posted in campaign 2014 Congress Media NCGOP Politics

#ncsen: The thrilla (kinda) NEAR Chapel Hilla

If you are like me, and don’t watch much TV — the senatorial debate last night gave you a great recap of all the “fun” you’ve missed.  The two major party candidates spent a good portion of their televised hour with George Stephanopoulos regurgitating the verbiage…

Posted in campaign 2014 Media NCGOP Pat McCrory Politics

Does even being SEEN with Pat McCrory hurt you with voters?

The folks over at The Elon Poll seem to think so:  […] When North Carolina House Speaker Thom Tillis was shown in a picture with Governor Pat McCrory his favorability rating also declined, but this negative effect was much smaller than Obama’s negative effect on…

Posted in campaign 2014 Congress Media Politics

#ncsen: (Ruh-Roh.) Questions about Tillis real estate holdings?

The lefties are giggling themselves silly on Politico’s front page today over Kay Hagan’s good fortune.  In the story, Democrat sources appear to be tipping their hand on what they hope will be a knockout punch against the Tillis campaign in the final weeks: […]…

Posted in campaign 2014 Congress Media NCGOP Politics

#ncsen: Oh, look. Carolina Rising sending BIG $$$ to Karl Rove.

We’ve all seen those ads from Carolina Rising touting the “success” of Gov. Pat McCrory and Speaker Thom Tillis (curiously, no mention of Senate president pro tem Phil Berger or Lt. Gov. Dan Forest or any other elected Republican in Raleigh). A check of FEC…

Posted in campaign 2014 Congress Media NCGOP Politics Thom Tillis

Analyst: Tillis doing worse with white voters than Dole in 2008, Romney in 2012

Over at the conservative web site Ace of Spades HQ, we’ve got some more eye-opening analysis on the Senate race:  […] Senator Hagan’s thin lead suggests a close race, much like what we saw in Alaska, Colorado, and Iowa, but unlike her collegues there, she…

Posted in campaign 2014 Congress Media NCGOP Politics

RedState: Tillis needs about 62% of undecideds in order to squeak past Hagan

That’s the take from analyst Dan McLaughlin– who finds Tillis sitting with 47% of the two-party vote, and needing 61.9% of the total 15.2% undecided vote in the race to earn 50.01% of the vote in November.  From June to October, McLaughlin found Hagan losing 1.1%…

Posted in campaign 2014 Congress Media NCGOP Politics

#ncsen: STILL waiting for some substance

Okay.  It’s become pretty clear that Kay Hagan’s upper middle-class family has benefited greatly from our bloated state and federal governments.  See brother in law David’s  real estate commissions from the city of Greensboro, hubby Chip’s stimulus money, and son Tilden’s business getting cash from…

Posted in campaign 2014 Congress Media NCGOP Politics Thom Tillis

#ncsen: 80% chance of Hagan victory, Tillis “uninspiring”

And the beat goes on.  The Five Thirty-Eight blog, maintained by election projection whiz Nate Silver, is seeing things coming up roses for ol’ Kay:  When FiveThirtyEight launched its Senate forecast almost a month ago, Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan had just a 46 percent chance…