#ncsen: PPP says Hagan 46, Tillis 45
This survey, conducted in patnership with the leftist Center for American Progress, was conducted among 738 likely voters from Oct 30-31. It has a margin of error of +-3.6 percent.
Continue reading#ncsen: Harper Polling says Tillis 46, Hagan 44
This automated survey was conducted among 511 likely voters between October 28-30. Margin of error is +-4.34 percent. (So, we’re within the margin of error and basically at a draw.)
Continue readingWe know. A lot of bad choices on the ballot. But STILL — you NEED to vote!
If the choices we’re looking at on the ballot don’t give enough incentive to start working WEDNESDAY on finding candidates for 2016, I don’t know what will. You may not
Continue reading#ncsen: The mystery of the disappearing “alleged” DENR memo
A last-minute firestorm over the apparent spiking of an anti-Hagan story is sweeping across social media. Thom Tillis partisans are pointing to it as further evidence of the media conspiracy
Continue reading#ncsen: YouGov says Hagan 44, Tillis, 41
This survey of 1727 North Carolina voters was conducted between Oct. 25 and Oct. 31. Three percent favored “someone else” while 12 percent were undecided. Let’s look at a breakdown of
Continue reading#ncsen: Another one
“Why is Thom Tillis helping payday lenders prey on our troops?” That’s the question on the front of YET ANOTHER mailer promoting the candidacy of Libertarian Sean Haugh. (For the
Continue reading#ncsen: A dirty old man comes to town
It makes, um, *sense.* Base your campaign on all kinds of feminist doctrine. Then, you bring in the guy who caused The White House’s official presidential workspace to be nicknamed
Continue reading#ncsen: Fox News says Hagan 43, Tillis 42
In this survey, Hagan has 86 percent of Democrats, while Tillis has 84 percent of Republicans. Hagan leads 55-31 among voters who said they have already voted. Here is a
Continue reading#ncsen: CNN says Hagan 48, Tillis 46, Haugh 4
This survey was conducted Oct. 27-30 among 559 likely voters. It has a +-4 percent margin of error. Here’s some analysis: […] Hampering Tillis is an underwater favorability rating. Just
Continue readingThe latest odds on GOP Senate takeover, Hagan re-elect
The Washington Post is giving the GOP a 95 percent chance of controlling the US Senate and a 99 percent chance of holding the House after this Tuesday’s vote. The
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