The streak lives on: Cooper by FIVE and SEVEN

High Point University is the latest pollster to opine on the 2026 US Senate race in North Carolina.  Here’s what they found:

It’s interesting – to say the least – that they polled Likely AND registered voters.  Results from Likely voters tend to have more credibility.  It’s also interesting that they didn’t mention everyone who will be on the Senate ballot. 

We thought it would also be interesting to check High Point’s findings in our last, most recent statewide race — the 2024 governor election.

In mid-October, High Point had Stein up by 16 points.  Stein won by 14.6 points.

One big difference — at a few points in that race, Robinson was ahead in some polls.  Mike Whatley has yet to lead in this race.

Some folks are trying to compare this year’s race with Whatley and Cooper to 2020’s Tillis v. Cunningham tiff.  Cunningham led most polls in that race.  (Tillis only led in two polls from October 1 until Election Day.)

Everyone who paid attention to that 2020 race knows Dirtbag Thom’s chestnuts got saved by (1) the Trump endorsement and (2) the exposure of Cunningham’s extramarital activities. It also helped Thom that there was a heated presidential race going on. There is nothing like any of that to help Whatley this year.