#ncga: NC House Dem campaign strategy? Carpet-bomb Wake & Meck.

AAEAAQAAAAAAAAO7AAAAJGRiNDNiYmQ0LTgzYWEtNGM4Yi04NjE4LTA5OGY4MWJjMTg3MATHAT is the game plan, according to the boasting of one well-known in-state Democrat strategist.  The Democrats will load up the Charlotte and Raleigh TV and radio markets with ads blasting the Republicans, in general, on Jones Street. Because those markets are so big, and have a target-rich environment in the form of Republicans in competitive seats, the NCDP is hoping to get the biggest bang for their MILLION bucks.

The Wake County hit list includes GOP House members Nelson Dollar, Marilyn Avila, Chris Malone, and Gary Pendleton.  Observers see Malone as the toughest of that foursome for the Democrats to knock off.  (I am told his team has quite an impressive “ground game.”) 

The Republicans’ best shot at capturing a Democrat seat is in the Outer Banks — the seat of retiring Democrat-turned-independent Paul Tine.   Dare County commissioner Beverly Boswell (R) is running a tough campaign to take that seat from the Dems.   The GOP COULD capture the Lee-County centered seat of rookie Democrat Rep. Brad Salmon.  But they’ve saddled themselves with John Sauls — a former House member — as their nominee.  Sauls is running a me-too campaign that is not doing much to distinguish himself from the Democrat incumbent.  (The seat had previously been held, until 2014, by Republican Mike Stone.)  THAT Lee County race is looking like a real missed opportunity.  

There is a slim possibility of GOPers snagging the southeastern North Carolina seat of retiring Democrat Ken Waddell, and the Cumberland County seat of appointed Democrat Billy Richardson.incoming

Let’s say the GOP takes the Tine seat and the Democrats get all four of those Wake seats plus Charlie Jeter’s seat in Mecklenburg County.  The Republicans currently have 73 seats to the Democrats’ 46.  The new margin would be 69 GOPers and 51 Democrats.  THAT leaves a ten-vote margin between the parties in the lower chamber.  (THAT also assumes no other Republican or Democrat House incumbents lose their reelection.)

If that works out, it makes the Dems’ mission to take a majority by 2020 — and capture control of the redistricting pens — a whole lot easier.

Snagging the Waddell and Richardson seats would knock the margin to 71-49 and provide a little more breathing room.

7 thoughts on “#ncga: NC House Dem campaign strategy? Carpet-bomb Wake & Meck.

  1. They’re not going to get Malone and they’ll find Avila to be a tough out. Losing Dollar will be addition by subtraction and conservatives in his district should consider that. So far, sounds to me like the biggest question is, will they or won’t they lose the super-majority?

  2. The republicans also have a really good shot at taking Billy Rochardson’s spit as well. Richardson replaced Glazier. Jim Arp takes on Richardson this fall

    1. Jim Arp will be a boost to those in the GOP House caucus who support President Obama’s green energy agenda. We have already bought him. Our friends at the NC green energy PAC got Arp a check for a grand early on. He is on the hook, and if our boys need to get him more, they will. It is helpful for us to have John Szoka, who was bought long ago, in the adjoining district.

      We don’t even need our own Democrats to achieve President Obama’s green energy goals when there are GOP politicians like Szoka and Arp who are for sale. Democrats originally got that renewable energy mandate that raises your electric rates passed, but it is your Republicans who are for sale to our cause that keep them imposed on your consumers. As President Obama has said, his green energy policies will cause electric rates for consumers ”to necessarily skyrocket” but who cares? Peons should not be permitted to afford airconditioning in the first place.

      All of the other states in your region have rejected President Obama’s renewable energy mandates, but thanks to your progressive Republican politicians like Szoka, Nelson Dollar, Kelly Hastings, Jason Saine, Tim Moore, and others North Carolina is standing firm for President Obama’s green energy policies.

  3. An Obama $$$$ supporter is an Obama enabler is an Obama soldier. They wear the same uniform. Sadly there are too many of these such creatures. Beverly Boswell’s opponent Warren Judge is a documented fit of the above definition. District 6, N C and America deserve better than a defined Obamaite. The foxhole has plenty of room for $$$$ for candidate Boswell.

    Browny Douglas

  4. Per request:

    Boswell 4 NC HOUSE DIST 6
    POB 3383
    Kill Devil Hills, NC 27948

    Browny Douglas

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