New poll: Don Davis on top in three-way race for NC-01

Phil Berger assured President Trump he had fixed the district so it was a Republican’s to take.  The new district went for Trump by 11 points in 2024. *Oh, if only the voters would go along more willingly with those deals concocted in smoke-filled backrooms.*  

A new poll from the polling firm GQR has the First Congressional District general election race — as of the last week of June — at Don Davis (D) 45%, Laurie Buckhout (R) 41%, and Tom Bailey (Libertarian) at eight percent.


As you can see, the race has changed little since February: Davis gained 3 points, Buckhout gained 2 points, and Bailey lost one point. 

Let’s compare these findings with those of the National Republican Congressional Committee — the campaign arm of US House Republicans led by North Carolina’s Richard Hudson – released in May.



Of course, this polling does not factor in the Libertarian candidate Bailey.  The GQR polling shows Davis leading Buckhout in a head-to-head matchup 49-47. But, as we all know, the Libertarian will be there when voters take to the polls in November.   

It’s also important to note that we’re in somewhat of a dead zone for political campaigns.  People take off on vacation from Memorial Day through Labor Day.  Little to no attention is paid to politics.  But things take off on a shotgun start following Labor Day weekend.