NC US Senate race poll blows hole in RINO ‘electability’ myth
Have you had enough of “moderate” Republicans trashing those of us who actually stand by the party platform as “unelectable” ?
We bring this up as former Gov. (and current Senate candidate) Pat McCrory is foaming at the mouth, proclaiming he and his ilk are “more electable” than us conservative types.
Well, a poll released last week by The Hill provides some pretty killer ammo to use in this debate against these weak sister pansy Republicans. The poll showed congressman Ted Budd (R) leading McCrory 38-22. The Budd campaign hailed the 16-point showing. The media focused on the 16-point showing. But the real news was in the hypothetical matchups for November that were included in the poll’s cross-tabs.
Budd, if he would be the GOP nominee in November, would defeat likely Democrat nominee Cheri Beasley 50-43. Former congressman Mark Walker(R), if he were to make it to November, leads Beasley 47-42. Marjorie Eastman, if she were to survive the primary and move on to November, was shown tying Beasley 44-44. Meanwhile, the poll projected McCrory losing — that’s right, LOSING — to Beasley 43-41.
So, Pat is the ONLY one using the “extremist argument” and touting a moderate stance. And he’s losing.
Let’s look at another interesting finding regarding the undecideds in each matchup. The whole GOP primary field has a 23 percent undecided vote. The poll did not identify Budd to respondents as the Trump-endorsed candidate. (Still, Budd polled at 38 percent — more than enough to win outright.) If it had, Budd would likely hold a much bigger lead in the primary field.
Budd’s hypothetical matchup for November has him ahead of Beasley by 7 percent with 8 percent undecided. Walker’s 5 percent of the November vote has 11 percent undecided, while Eastman has 12 percent undecided. McCrory is shown losing by 2 percent to Beasley in November with 17 percent undecided.
THAT is an astounding number since McCrory easily has the highest name recognition of any candidate on the ballot. So what does it mean?
It means that many voters in this poll would vote for a Republican candidate they don’t even know (Eastman) but would consider voting for the Democrat over McCrory, who they all know. That is a gut-punch for Team McCrory.
Finally, the poll also shows a trend that many of us pointed out as a McCrory flaw at the beginning of this process: Pat McCrory does not resonate with voters outside of urban areas. Budd and McCrory were tied at 31% apiece among suburban voters. But get outside of the Triangle, Triad and Charlotte?
In the rural areas where we find most of the REAL Republican base, Budd slays McCrory 42% to 11%. This is the same type of trend we saw when McCrory was the glaring outlier at the top of the ticket in 2016, with McCrory’s loss to Roy Cooper the only thing keeping Republicans from having a clean sweep.
Folks outside of the metropolitan areas of our state voted FOR Trump, Burr & Forest, but not McCrory. This poll shows that trend again.
One has to wonder if people like Pat McCrory, Paul Shumaker and the suits at the NCGOP understand the relevance of this poll? Only about 1 in 10 Republican primary voters outside of the big city would vote for McCrory in this primary.
This poll does nothing but confirm what grassroots conservatives already knew. But it should be a rallying call to conservatives as well. It’s time we send the message that establishment Republicans do not represent the conservative base. All this talk about them being the best chance in a general election is not supported by the facts.
Pat is the Crap in the Republican party no matter what he is trying to make people believe with his latest TV had. He is pure garbage
Any rural voter who votes for McCrory is voting against their own interests. As Governor, McCrory pushed a plan through the legislature that changed the way highway funds were allocated, and it took money away from rural counties to give it to urban counties. McCrory screwed the rural parts of the state to pander to his buds in Charlotte on highway construction.
Paul Shumaker has long pushed the myth that this poll explodes that squishy RINOs are more “electable” than conservatives, which is utter nonsense. By the way, another Shumaker client to beware of is Trey Allen is the Supreme Court race.
Yes, it’d be nice to see SOS (Shumaker or Stewart) candidates spectacularly go down in flames this year. But there is certainly a full court press on to get Allen the nomination, and by people who ought to know better. Not a speck of time as a trial judge and they think he’s the one to beat Sam Ervin?!?!
Apparently you don’t understand how the highway funds are distributed. There is much more than saying they go to an area and fyi, they came to Cumberland, Wake, New Hanover to name a few….and don’t forget the obx.
Newby asking Wood not to run because Cooper would appoint her replacement is puzzling & disappointing. Wood has over 20 years of experience on the Bench. Allen has zero.. We must wrangle control of the State Supreme Court in order to prevent some of the ridiculous rulings in the past.
Why is it bad for April Wood to vacate her seat but it’s fine for Richard Dietz to vacate his? There is a lot wrong with this party.
Last year I reviewed the latest version of the NCGOP platform. It was quite good, but deviated far from what the moderates in the NCGOP fight for. I questioned my regional member of the platform committee why they bother with a platform if the party doesn’t hold its members to it. He said that on many topics, like gay marriage, the “horse was out of the barn” and wasn’t worth the fight. Squish is the best description of these spineless people.
The big problem in Raleigh is the same as in Washington, namely what passes for legislative leadership. “China Mitch” McConnell has been a disaster in the US Senate and makes no bones about hating conservatives. We have had a parade of similar characters in the US House; Boehner, Ryan, and now McCarthy.
It is just as bad in Raleigh. Tillis was a liberal as House Speaker and Tim Moore is no different. Phil Berger was once a solid conservative but has done a Jekyll and Hyde conversion and now is even to the left of Tim Moore. These poseurs listen to the special interests, not the GOP base. After his cave in to Roy Cooper on the NC Green New Deal (HB 951) Phil Berger seems to just be Greta Thunberg without the skirt.
We need enough changes in primaries that we can clean house (and senate) of this RINO leadership in both Raleigh and Washington. Electing Ted Budd to US Senate will be one major blow we can strike. There are some House primaries like Cowden against Murphy that can also help advance that cause.