NC-02: Civitas poll says Ellmers 47, Aiken 39, Undecided 14

mouthIf you were wondering why incumbent Republican Renee Ellmers decided to debate Democrat challenger Clay Aiken, this news might give you a hint.  The Civitas survey was conducted Sept. 26-28 among 400 registered voters.  It had a margin of error of +-5 percent.

Ellmers’s favorable / unfavorable rating was at 25/28 while Aiken’s sat at 25/35.  Forty-seven percent of the registered voters said they were either neutral, or had no opinion, on the two-term congresswoman.  Forty percent of claysingrespondents said the same about Aiken.

The respondents, all registered voters in the Second District, split 44-44 on Thom Tillis and Kay Hagan in the US Senate race.  Seven percent said they would vote for Sean Haugh. (This district is overwhelmingly conservative.) 

Surveys of likely voters tend to have more credibility than those of registered voters.  (Not all registered voters actually show up at the polls.) 

Ellmers and Aiken are scheduled to debate Monday night at the Pinehurst Resort.

6 thoughts on “NC-02: Civitas poll says Ellmers 47, Aiken 39, Undecided 14

  1. I’m surprised Ellmers is at 47%. I can’t find a Republican in the Second District who likes her. This is one of those races where neither party gives the voters a decent choice. Still wouldn’t surprise me if Ellmers lost. Aiken would be no less responsive to GOP voters than Ellmers has been.

  2. If Aiken defeats Elmers in that district then North Carolina has officially gone blue.

    It will not be a gradual shift to liberalism but rather like a speeding bullet. But hey, maybe its time. If the conservatives are disappointed in the conservatives then maybe the liberals are the lighthouse in the dark. The liberals do seem to welcome anyone willing to support their cause.

    1. Elmers is not a conservative. She is a Big Government Republican and not all that different from Aiken. That is why she is in trouble. She is Etheridge in a skirt and does not represent Republican values.

      I am glad I do not live in that district, as I would have no one to vote for. Fortunately, in my district we have a solid principled GOP Congressman that I can vote for with enthusiasm.

      To deal with districts like the 2nd,. I would like to see a None of the Above line added to the ballot, and if it got a pluarity, there would have to be an immediate special election with the nominees who were defeated by None of the Above excluded.

  3. Here’s the height of irony: Ellmers ditched her own conservative base by opposing the NC Marriage Amendment which won overwhelmingly in her district. Her voters have not forgotten this betrayal. Wouldn’t it be justice if she got beat by a homosexual activist? What an ironic twist!

    1. If he were an illegal alien, then it would add to the irony. Ellmers has betrayed her base on that issue in a big way, too.

    2. What about the citizens that want small government in every aspect. Seems to me that when the government gets involved in that portion of a persons life, the government has become pretty large.

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