Elon poll: McCrory UP, Burr DOWN (both are tight, tight, tight)
This one was a phone survey of 644 North Carolina voters between September 12th and 16th. (The margin of error was +-3.86 percent.)
- Governor: This survey has McCrory leading Cooper 48.7% to 46%. McCrory was the choice of 63% of white respondents, 7% of blacks, and 56% of those classified as “Other.” McCrory landed 55% of the male vote and 48% of the female vote. The governor gets 88% of those who call themselves conservative, 41% of self-described moderates, and 6% of liberals. Mccrory leads among all age groups except for 18-40. The governor gets 92% of Republicans and 60% of Independents. (Cooper gets 83% of Democrats.)
- Senate: The Elon survey has Deborah Ross leading Richard Burr 44.4% to 43.4%. Burr and Ross each earn the support of 55% of their respective genders. Burr gets 83% of self-described conservatives, 41% of moderates, and 4% of liberals. The senator gets 9% of Democrats, 58% of “independents”, and 92% of Republicans.
“The senator gets 9% of Democrats…”
So why does he govern from the left? He still can’t win the Democrats.
It is not the voters in NC that Burr cares about. It is the special interest lobbyists on K Street. That is who he panders to.
Virtually all of Burr’s fundraising is coming from the elitist GOP Establishment in Washington–which is also supporting Hillary. Little wonder there is no grassroots support for Burr in NC.
Something is wrong here.
If McCrory gets of 55% of male respondents and
48% of female respondents, then
HE HAS TO BE OVER 50% of the vote.
“If McCrory gets of 55% of male respondents and
48% of female respondents, then HE HAS TO BE OVER 50% of the vote.”
Not if they asked 100 males and 10,000 females. Or, maybe they didn’t report the votes of those with unknown gender.
Either way, I’d take this result on election day. Burr out, McCrory in (and a GOP majority on local Board of Elections) will work. And with the Senate majority looking increasingly secure, the prospect and potential rewards of jettisoning Burr become increasingly attractive. Tillis take heed.
The yellow dog Republicans will probably pull Burr’s cojones out of the fire. After all, why would we hold anyone accountable for being the worst senator ever?