#ncsen: PPP says Hagan 46, Tillis 45

voteThis survey, conducted in patnership with the leftist Center for American Progress, was conducted among 738 likely voters from Oct 30-31.  It has a margin of error of +-3.6 percent.

Here are some of the poll’s “key findings”:

  • One key economic issue that affects American families is paid family leave for workers. Sen. Hagan supports guaranteed paid leave, while Tillis opposes such a measure. Sen. Hagan’s support for paid family leave makes North Carolina voter more likely to support her by a 40–28 margin.
  • Education funding is important to North Carolina voters, and Tillis’ slashing of $500 million from public education appears to be a major issue in voters’ minds. Voters are less likely to back Tillis by a 24-percentage-point margin because of his moves to cut public education.
  • Sen. Hagan’s vote for the Manchin-Toomey gun background check wins her twice as many supporters than detractors. A full 50 percent of North Carolinians say they are more likely to support her because of the vote, compared to 25 percent who are less likely.[…]

Thirty-eight percent of respondents said they had already voted.  An additional 59 percent said they WILL definitely be voting.

2 thoughts on “#ncsen: PPP says Hagan 46, Tillis 45

  1. Polls don’t matter so much anymore. We have 18% turnout for early voting which is a massive sample size and I think very indicative of tomorrow. With D turnout hoving around 48% it’s hard to see Kay not achieving over 50% right away. (Yeah I know she’s not a motivating candidate for her base, but there are “blue Republicans” in Charlotte and Raleigh that will make up for that)

    Whenever I try and make realistic educated guesses about how this election will go… I figure Haugh tops out around 5%. There is no strong history of 3rd party votes in NC and the L team usually gets around 2%. The Dole-Hagan race was a high water makr of around 3.5%.

    Well, if Hagan gets over 50, and Haugh around 5, that leaves low 40s for Tillis. No wonder both RedState and HuffPo don’t bother discussing this race anymore.

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