Posted in Congress Media

#ncsen: The mystery of the disappearing “alleged” DENR memo

A last-minute firestorm over the apparent spiking of an anti-Hagan story is sweeping across social media.  Thom Tillis partisans are pointing to it as further evidence of the media conspiracy with leftist interests. I am a former member of the drive-by media. I now find…

Posted in Congress Media

#ncsen: A dirty old man comes to town

It makes, um, *sense.*  Base your campaign on all kinds of feminist doctrine.  Then, you bring in the guy who caused The White House’s official presidential workspace to be nicknamed “The fellati-Oval Office.” Yep.  Our fair capital city was, um, *graced* with an appearance by…

Posted in Congress Media

#ncsen: PPP says Hagan 47, Tillis 46, Haugh 4

This poll of 657 likely voters was done October 28-29.  Hagan’s favorable-unfavorable rating is 46-49.  Tillis’s favorable-unfavorable is at 42-50. (Obama is at 47-50.)  Hagan is getting 90 percent of 2012 Obama voters, while Tillis gets 82 percent of Romney voters. Twelve percent of those…

Posted in Congress Media

#ncsen: Elon says Hagan 45, Tillis 41

The pollster notes that Hagan’s lead grows to SEVEN PERCENT when you look simply at ‘registered voters.’ (The numbers above are from likely voters.)  This poll was conducted October 21-25 among 1084 North Carolina residents with a margin of error between +-2.98 to +-3.74. The…

Posted in campaign 2014 Congress Media Politics

#ncsen: High Point says TIED at 44 each

Haugh draws 5 percent here. This survey was conducted October 21 to 25 with 802 likely and actual voters.  It has a margin of error of +-3.5 percent. On the generic congressional ballot, the Republican beat out the Democrat by 48-43.   Hagan’s approval-disapproval was…

Posted in Congress Media

#ncsen: Monmouth U. poll says Hagan 48, Tillis 46, Haugh 1

This survey was taken October 23-26 and involved 432 likely voters in North Carolina.  It has a margin of error of +-4.7 percent.  Here is some of the pollster’s take:  The Monmouth University Poll finds incumbent Senator Kay Hagan leading her challenger Thom Tillis by…

Posted in campaign 2014 Congress Media Politics

#ncsen: Civitas says Tillis 40, Hagan 39, Haugh 5

This survey of 600 voters was conducted October 15-18.  A regional breakdown shows Hagan leading in Charlotte and the Southeast, while Tillis leads in The Triangle, The Piedmont Triad, and northeastern North Carolina.  Including voters leaning toward each of the three candidates, the split is…

Posted in campaign 2014 Congress Media NCGOP Politics

#ncsen: WRAL / SurveyUSA says Hagan 46, Tillis 43, Haugh 6

That survey of 568 likely voters was conducted October 16-20 and has a margin of error of +-4.2 percent.  One of its more interesting findings is that 87 percent of respondents had made their mind up about this race. Only 11 percent said they might…

Posted in Congress Media

#ncsen: PPP says Hagan 46, Tillis 43, Haugh 5

This survey of 780 likely voters was conducted by left-leaning Public Policy Polling from October 16 to 18.  It has a margin of error of +-3.5 percent.  Like the Gravis poll, PPP also took a look at a Hagan-Tillis head-to-head matchup.  They found Hagan still…

Posted in Congress Media

#ncsen: Gravis Marketing says Tillis 48, Hagan 43, Unsure 9

They conducted this survey of 1022 likely North Carolina voters in partnership with the conservative web site Human Events.  (Respondents were only given two names to choose from.  There will be a third name on the ballot, Libertarian Sean Haugh, plus THREE write in candidates…