#ncga: A new conservative star in Raleigh?

John Blust, Chris Millis and a number of other conservatives in the state House have ridden off into the sunset.  But there is an open seat race on the state’s coast that may soften the blow of those losses. Keith Kidwell, Chairman of the Beaufort County GOP, is taking on Beaufort county commissioner Jerry Langley (D) in November for House District 79. My sources on the ground in Beaufort County describe Kidwell as a principled conservative who doesn’t mind bucking peer pressure and going against the crowd. I remember Kidwell as a critic of the coup against then-NCGOP chairman Hasan…

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#ncga: “I’ll take ONE senate seat for $500K, please.”

No, your eyes are not deceiving you.  Sam Searcy (D), candidate for the SD-17 seat in Wake County, has loaned his campaign  $500,000.  He is seeking to knock off incumbent Tamara Barringer (R) in November. THAT loan by Searcy puts his total fundraising haul for the cycle at $648,156.39.   And we’re STILL roughly four months away from election day. Barringer, in comparison, has raised $51,157 for the cycle. The Barringer campaign  can hang their hopes on the lessons of the 1980 John Connally presidential campaign.  Connally, a Texas tycoon who had been governor among other things, spent $11 million…

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Monkey Business Report: Ooooh, that smell ….

Whiskey bottles, and brand new cars Oak tree you’re in my way There’s too much coke and too much smoke Look what’s going on inside you Ooooh that smell Can’t you smell that smell Ooooh that smell The smell of death surrounds you ….  — Lynyrd Skynyrd _____ It’s campaign time.  And we all know that politicians tend to say and do the dumbest / most outrageous / most outlandish things one can imagine at a much higher volume during this period. Just as they have with the solar goons and Duke Energy, Jones Street Republicans have thrown in with…

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#ncga: In HD-98, Clark (D) leading incumbent Bradford (R) BIG in $$$ chase

This seat in the Charlotte area has had a long Republican tradition.  John Rhodes. Thom Tilli$$$.  And now John Bradford. However, the most recent campaign finance reports show challenger Christy Clark (D) is quite competitive on the fundraising front.  For the first quarter of 2018, Clark reported raising $33,433.13.   Incumbent John Bradford reported raising $6,075 for the same period.   Let’s move to the second quarter.  Clark reported raising $37,457.34.  In comparison, Bradford reported raising $17,165.62. So, for the year, we have Clark at $70,890.47 and Bradford at $23,240.62. 

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#ncga: In HD-40, Avila (R) leading incumbent John (D) in $$$ chase

This rematch of 2016 appears to be looking a little more favorable toward Marilyn Avila.  She lost her Raleigh-based seat to Democrat Joe John that year in a race heavily targeted by state Democrats and liberal groups. Campaign reports for 2018 show John raising $29,645 in the first quarter and $16,799.42 for the second quarter.  THAT is a total of $46,444.42 for the year. Avila, by comparison, raised $27,494.55 in the first quarter and $30,625 for the second quarter.  THAT is a total haul of $58,119.55 for the year.

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#ncga: In HD-20, Cohen (D) neck-and-neck in with Grange (R) in $$$ chase

Things are looking a little interesting in this very-Republican district. Incumbent Holly Grange (R) is running for her second full term in Raleigh.  (She was appointed to the seat in mid-2016 thanks to the incumbent’s resignation.) According to campaign reports, Grange raised $30,557 in the first quarter of 2018 and $29,377.75 for the second quarter.  THAT is a total of $59,954.75 for 2018. Let’s look at challenger Leslie Cohen.  For the first quarter, she reported raising $28,648.  For the second quarter, Cohen reported raising $32,803.86. For those keeping score at home, THAT is a total of $61,451.86.  

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#ncga: In HD-6, Judge (D) outrai$ed Hanig (R) BIG

A personal feud between Reps. Beverly Boswell (R) and Bob Steinburg (R) let to Currituck County commissioner (and Steinburg lieutenant) Bobby Hanig (R) primary-ing Boswell in May. Things went well for Hanig in May.  But it appears the road has been bumpy since.  According to campaign finance reports,  Hanig raised $12,659 in the first quarter of 2018.  But he spent $20,497.21 — leaving him $7838.21 in the hole for that period.   Tess Judge, the Democrat, raised $34,810.62 for the same period.  Let’s look at the second quarter.  Hanig reported raising $13,050.  ($4,450 of that total came from the candidate himself.)…

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#ncga, In SD-41, Marcus(D) swamping Tarte (R) in fundrai$ing

Democrat Natasha Marcus is apparently looking a lot scarier to Jeff Tarte than Nicole Revels.  The Democrat’s 1st quarter fundraising totals exceed Tarte’s total haul for the year.  Disclosure reports show Marcus raised $113,802.53 from 375 donors during that period.  Tarte reported raising $35,456.34 from 53 donors during the first quarter. Let’s go to the second quarter.  Marcus reported raising $64,608.98 from 376 donors.  Tarte, for the same period, reported raising $72,002 from 65 donors. The incumbent Republican slightly edged his Democrat challenger for quarter 2.  But consider this:   For the year, (Q1+Q2), Tarte raised $107,458.34.  For the first…

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#ncga: You KNOW you’re in trouble when …

… the legal fees and other costs expended to get you on the ballot are a bigger number than your campaign’s fundraising totals over two quarters.  That appears to be the story for Senate district 37 challenger Nora Trotman.  Remember her saga?  Democrats pointed out that she did  not register to vote in North Carolina soon enough to qualify for inclusion  on the ballot.  Nevertheless, our boy Dallas coughed up lawyers and cash to try and save the day. Somehow, Trotman won the appeal and got on the ballot.  Unfortunately, she’s so far proving to be a weak opponent for…

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#ncga: In SD-9, Peterson (D) outrai$ed incumbent Lee (R) in Q2

And the beat goes on … Former Wilmington mayor Harper Peterson is one of the Democrats’ marquee challengers in this cycle.  This seat has bounced back and forth between the parties since Patrick Ballantine gave it up to run for governor.  Democrat Julia Boseman held it from 2004 to 2010.  Thom Goolsby recaptured it for the GOP in 2010. Republican Mike Lee has held the seat since 2014. The second quarter fundraising numbers for 2018 are in.  The Peterson campaign is reporting a haul of $52,316.03 for the period. Meanwhile, the Lee campaign is reporting a haul of $36,300 for…

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