Tillis: No mandate for congressional GOP

Seriously? Unfortunately, I think he is quite serious:  Sen.-elect Thom Tillis is already hitting the Sunday morning talk show circuit. Appearing on CBS’s Face The Nation on Sunday, Tillis said the new Republican majority in the U.S. Senate doesn’t represent a mandate. “I think that the American people did not give Republicans a mandate,” Tillis said, according to a transcript released by CBS. “They gave us a chance. They gave us a chance to lead.” […]  WHAT? Every Republican who defeated an incumbent Democrat — ol’ Thom included — ran on a platform of stopping Obama.  Not compromise with him….

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#ncsen: Tillis campaign internal poll says Hagan 44, Tillis 42, Haugh 6

A month ago, the SAME pollster had the race at 44-44-8. How can this be viewed as good news for Tillis, you ask?  National Journal has the 4-1-1 on this latest leak:  Thom Tillis narrowly trails Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan in the North Carolina Senate race, according to an internal poll conducted for the Republican challenger’s own campaign, but the incumbent is struggling to attract support among voters who indicated they were most likely to cast a ballot in November. […] The poll—which, like all internal surveys leaked to the media, should be viewed warily—was taken Oct. 4-7 and interviewed 600…

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Analyst: Tillis doing worse with white voters than Dole in 2008, Romney in 2012

Over at the conservative web site Ace of Spades HQ, we’ve got some more eye-opening analysis on the Senate race:  […] Senator Hagan’s thin lead suggests a close race, much like what we saw in Alaska, Colorado, and Iowa, but unlike her collegues there, she has managed to stay ahead. After a dramatic drop over the course of numerous surveys through 2013 into early 2014, she has recovered a small but consistent lead over Thom Tillis, who is watching his disapproval ratings climb whilst being pummeled by Hagan’s ads. Fans of Professor McDonald’s fantastic election website have been able to…

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#ncsen: 80% chance of Hagan victory, Tillis “uninspiring”

And the beat goes on.  The Five Thirty-Eight blog, maintained by election projection whiz Nate Silver, is seeing things coming up roses for ol’ Kay:  When FiveThirtyEight launched its Senate forecast almost a month ago, Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan had just a 46 percent chance of winning re-election in North Carolina. Her chance of winning now stands at 80 percent. On Tuesday, a National Research survey in the Tar Heel State put Hagan up 46 percent to 41 percent over Republican Thom Tillis — the 10th consecutive non-campaign sponsored survey to give her a lead. But North Carolina is the…

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#NCSEN: The charge of the clothespin brigade

Some Republicans and Tea Partiers in and around Moore County are launching a “Clothespin Challenge.”  One of the organizers posted this on her Facebook Page: All you disconcerted or apathetic voters out there, your guy didn’t win the primary? Well, it is time to get with it and join our CLOTHESPIN CHALLENGE! Romney received 3 million fewer votes than John McCain, assuring an Obama victory. Let’s not let that happen here in NC, and allow Kay Hagan to be reelected because we sat at home. Join us by posting your picture and promise to vote for Thom Tillis here, and GET…

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#NCSEN: A trip back in time to recall the “old” Kay Hagan

One of our allies out there jogged our memory with a very helpful piece from The Daily Kos about the 2008 version of Kay Hagan: In the race to replace Elizabeth Dole (R-KansasD.C.-NC)The North Carolina Senate race pits an entrenched corporate Democrat who is right about some of the things some of the times versus a Progressive, outsider Democrat running on grassroots/netroots support who is right on the issues. An inspirational, progressive, well-spoken, outsider with a proven record of raising funds for other Democrats steps up to the plate – Jim Neal. Jim Neal is the outsider who is relying…

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#NCSEN: The ad war & the $500 million lie

So far, the 2014 US Senate race is looking and sounding a lot like one for governor or General Assembly.  We’re hearing a lot about education.  Kay Hagan and the Democrats are running some highly-dubious testimonial ads from teachers and parents talking about the alleged damage Tillis and the General Assembly have done to education.  Those ads — to those of us who pay attention — can easily be dismissed as bovine manure.  But for the low-information crowd, they are devastatingly effective. (One woman offering testimony on-camera as a parent was revealed to be the wife of a Democrat campaign…

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